So I recently decided to train a model to help predict the group stage matches for the FIFA world cup. It’s a combination of a Random Forest Model and Poisson Distribution to help predict the games. Currently I’m only training the model based off of a teams ELO and recent form(performance in past 5 games), but plan on adding FIFA’s point system as another metric. I attached the most common match result of each game after running the simulation 1000 times and the probability of where each team finishes this year(first, second, third qual., third elim., and fourth)